Hume Reading Guide
27. Hume says there's no such thing as chance, but there is probability. Explain the difference.
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Class Responses and Instructor Comments
>From Akiva D. Probability is described mathematically. Such as a die has six sides so its probability is 1/6. Chance is only when you have an occurence which has no explanation. But hume believes there must be a Law that describes each occurence. If there isnt one readily available, then we create a new one.
>rm
says: Yes, or amend the ones we have to include the new event. How do
you think the notion of 'chance' is related to that of 'accident'? >From MILDRED FERENTINO: "There is no such thing as chance in the world; our ignorance of the real cause of any event has the same influence on the understanding, and begets a like species of belief or opinion. There is certainly a probability, which arises from a superiority of chances on any side; and according as this superiority increases, and surpasses the opposite chances, the probability receives a proportionable increase, and begets still a higher degree of belief or assent to that side, in which we discover the superiority." Pg. 37
>rm
says: This states Hume's position, but doesn't explain it, really. I'm
looking here for an explanation of the difference. I used examples in
class.
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